Editor Matt Loede’s NFL Picks for week 10

Last Week: 8-5
Season: 73-56

Cincinnati at Indianapolis – The Colts are 3-0 at home, and the Bengals are coming off a short week and they are in the midst of a lost season. Cincy will hang for about three quarters, but the Colts are a team that is smarting after a loss in Philly. Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 17

New York Jets at Cleveland – The Browns laid a stunner on the Pats last week, but won’t find the same success running the ball against Rex Ryan’s Jets. This has all the makings of a low scoring defensive battle, but the Jets CB’s could come up big against rookie QB Colt McCoy. Rob Ryan is 0-3 vs Rex, and that will stretch to 0-4 Sunday. New York Jets 17 Cleveland 14

Minnesota at Chicago – Brett Favre had a career day last week, but that was in a dome vs the Cardinals. While the Bears have had issues over the past five weeks going 2-3, they needed the win in Toronto vs Buffalo, and will need that type of effort again. The Bears get to Favre and get a home division win. Chicago 23 Minnesota 17

Tennessee at Miami – The Titans with Randy Moss can go one of two ways, and it could make or break the Titans season. They head to Miami, who has already seen Moss a couple times this year. Look for Miami with new QB starter Chad Pennington to simply use their run game to try and control the clock. Chris Johnson needs a big game for the Titans, who can’t assume Moss will have a big game in his first game out. Miami 21 Tennessee 17

Houston at Jacksonville – Two AFC South teams that despite having .500 seasons find themselves just a game out of first. The Jags seem to play with more confidence at home, and David Garrard is a better QB in front of the home fans. The Texans are very inconsistent, and may be looking at a coaching change if they don’t start winning some games and have a shot at the playoffs in the last month of 2010. Jacksonville 27 Houston 21

Detroit at Buffalo – Shaun Hill is back at QB for the Lions, who have had no luck with Matthew Stafford the whole year. Buffalo continues to fight and look for their first win, and this could be the week. Ryan Fitzpatrick should be able to throw against the Lions, and the Bills run game is going to have a big play or two to get them a big first win. Buffalo 24 Detroit 14

Carolina at Tampa Bay – The Panthers lost QB Matt Moore for the season, and the Bucs will make it a long day for rookie Jimmy Clausen. The Bucs are not happy with the loss in Atlanta, and will rebound here to get to 6-3 on the year, 3-2 at home. Tampa Bay 31 Carolina 14

Kansas City at Denver – A loss by the Broncos here and they might as well start thinking about their draft position for 2011. The Chiefs blew a game in Oakland, and will want to come out and prove they are a team that can bounce back on the road. A critical game for both teams, but the Chiefs will find a way late to pull it out against the error prone Broncos. Kansas City 24 Denver 21

St.Louis at San Francisco – The 4-4 Rams need this game, but it won’t be easy as they are 0-3 on the road and the Niners have played better in winning two of their last three. If the Niners think they have any shot to win the West, they have to win here. They get a big win by stopping Sam Bradford and company with a solid effort from their D. San Francisco 17 St.Louis 10

Dallas at New York Giants – Jason Garrett is the head man finally in Dallas, but unless he comes out and plays QB, and throws for 400 yards, it’s not going to matter. The Cowboys are a mess, and one week of hearing Garrett isn’t going to change much. The Giants are playing like a team that will have a lot to say about the NFC playoff race, and they should be able to round up a rather easy win against their division rivals here. New YorK Giants 31 Dallas 13

Seattle at Arizona – Last week it looked like the Cards were in prime position to win a big road game vs the Vikings, but in the end they blew it as the D allowed Brett Favre to work his magic. Now they come home to host the Seahawks, who have been beat badly the past two weeks by the Raiders and Giants. The Cards need to get a win to stay in this race, and while Seattle is 4-4, they are reeling and should fall here. Arizona 24 Seattle 10

New England at Pittsburgh – Two 6-2 teams go at it on Sunday night, with the Pats coming off a severe beating in Cleveland, while the Steelers are beat up on the O-line, but beat Cincy 27-21 on the road. The Pats were being touted as the AFC’s best two weeks ago, but now look like a team that could be headed for 6-3. Look for the Steelers to pound Rashard Mendenhall, and for their defense to tee off on Tom Brady. In the past, Brady has had big games in the Steel City, but this isn’t the same old Pats, and the Steelers will get to 7-2. Pittsburgh 30 New England 17

Monday Night:

Philadelphia at Washington – Donovan McNabb takes on his old team, but this time there’s questions about the coach and QB getting along, and if Mike Shanahan is starting to think about the future, and it be without McNabb. The Eagles got a big win last week at home vs the Colts, and they will have a little revenge on their mind for losing the first game in Philly. Philadelphia 20 Washington 13